Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| O/U 65.5 | 100% |
| O/U 67.5 | 100% |
| O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| O/U 71.5 | 100% |
| O/U 73.5 | 100% |
| O/U 75.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 100% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| Spread -18.5 | 100% |
| Spread -19.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| Spread -28.5 | 100% |
| Spread -30.5 | 100% |
| Spread -31.5 | 100% |
| Spread -34.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 1% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 1% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 1% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| San Diego State O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of san diego state vs. oregon state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Oregon State, scheduled for October 10 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego St…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $493K.
Methodology
We track San Diego State vs. Oregon State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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