Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fresno State vs. Washington State | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Washington State O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of fresno state vs. washington state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and Washington State, scheduled for October 3 at 9:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State wi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $690K.
Methodology
This page reviews Fresno State vs. Washington State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
Trade Fresno State vs. Washington State on Best Prediction Markets UK
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