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Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Cruzeiro EC O/U 0.5 99% Cruzeiro EC 1st Half O/U 0.5 99% Volume: $126K Liquidity: $149K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Cruzeiro EC O/U 0.599%
Cruzeiro EC 1st Half O/U 0.599%
O/U 1.589%
2nd Half O/U 0.577%
Cruzeiro EC O/U 1.573%
O/U 2.563%
Cruzeiro EC 1st Half O/U 1.562%
2nd Half O/U 1.562%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half58%
Both Teams to Score56%
Mirassol FC O/U 0.556%
Mirassol FC 1st Half O/U 0.556%
1st Half O/U 1.553%
Mirassol FC 1st Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Cruzeiro EC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Cruzeiro EC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Mirassol FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Mirassol FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)48%
Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.537%
O/U 3.535%
Both Teams to Score in First Half28%
Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)22%
Mirassol FC O/U 1.519%
1st Half O/U 2.517%
O/U 4.515%
O/U 5.55%
Mirassol FC O/U 2.54%
Mirassol FC (-1.5)1%
Mirassol FC (-2.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cruzeiro ec vs. mirassol fc - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for August 9 at 10:00 AM ET.

Methodology

We track Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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