Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Canadian Open, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Kei Nishikori Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to canadian open, qualification: michael zheng vs kei nishikori. This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Zheng and Kei Nishikori in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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