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Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Total Sets: O/U 3.5 78% Volume: $704K Liquidity: $241K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Total Sets: O/U 3.578%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 36.569%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik60%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 9.552%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 3 O/U 9.552%
Completed Match51%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 4 O/U 10.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 3 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Match O/U 40.546%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 2 Winner43%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Total Sets: O/U 4.535%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set Handicap +/-2.526%
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: frances tiafoe vs alexander bublik. This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Alexander Bublik in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafo…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets