Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 99% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 83% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 60% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 36.5 | 53% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 38.5 | 52% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 4 Winner | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 40.5 | 40% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 3 Winner | 39% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz | 9% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: casper ruud vs hubert hurkacz stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Hubert Hurkacz in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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