Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of cary: jay dylan friend vs braden shick. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Dylan Friend and Braden Shick in the Cary, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay…
Methodology
We track Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Cary: Jay Dylan Friend vs Braden Shick on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →