Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, swedish open, qualification: federico coria vs taro daniel stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Coria and Taro Daniel in the Swedish Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Swedish Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Taro … on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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