Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg. This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Max Hans Rehberg in the Braunschweig, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' i…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Trade Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehberg on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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