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PGA Tour: Travelers Championship Winner

How the prediction-market book is pricing "PGA Tour: Travelers Championship Winner" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Scottie Scheffler 72% Viktor Hovland 26% Collin Morikawa 4% Wyndham Clark 2% Volume: $444K Liquidity: $648K Closes: 28 Jun 2026
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PGA Tour: Travelers Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler72%
Viktor Hovland26%
Collin Morikawa4%
Wyndham Clark2%
Matt Fitzpatrick1%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Sam Burns0%
Brian Campbell0%
Patrick Cantlay0%
Bud Cauley0%
Rickie Fowler0%
Brian Harman0%
Russell Henley0%
Tom Hoge0%
Benjamin James0%
Si Woo Kim0%
Jake Knapp0%
Min Woo Lee0%
Shane Lowry0%
Robert MacIntyre0%
Alexander Noren0%
Tony Finau0%
Alex Fitzpatrick0%
Mac Meissner0%
Andrew Novak0%
JT Poston0%
Aaron Rai0%
Eric Cole0%
Corey Conners0%
Jason Day0%
Nicolas Echavarria0%
Harris English0%
Tommy Fleetwood0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Kurt Kitayama0%
Maverick McNealy0%
Kristoffer Reitan0%
Alex Smalley0%
Brandt Snedeker0%
Justin Thomas0%
J.J. Spaun0%
Sam Stevens0%
Sepp Straka0%
Jackson Suber0%
Nick Taylor0%
Sahith Theegala0%
Gary Woodland0%
Ludvig Aberg0%
Daniel Berger0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Ryan Fox0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Lucas Glover0%
Chris Gotterup0%
Ben Griffin0%
Harry Hall0%
Nicolai Hojgaard0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Michael Kim0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Denny McCarthy0%
Matt McCarty0%
Taylor Pendrith0%
Justin Rose0%
Xander Schauffele0%
Adam Scott0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 30%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Other0%
Player 20%
Jordan Spieth0%
Jhonattan Vegas0%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Cameron Young0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Player 60%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pga tour: travelers championship winner stands at 72% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Travelers Cha…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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