Which NFL players will be traded?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The NFL trade deadline falls in early November each year, creating a concentrated window for mid-season roster moves. However, trades can occur year-round, including during the off-season and training camp periods. The market extends to 22 July 2026, capturing the entire off-season window and early training camp phase when teams typically finalise rosters ahead of the regular season. A 3% implied probability suggests the crowd views a trade involving the specified player as unlikely within this timeframe, though the extended settlement window encompasses multiple decision points where front offices reassess roster composition.

Historical precedent shows that mid-tier and younger players with expiring contracts or redundant positional depth generate the highest trade activity. Between 2020 and 2024, roughly 15–20% of notable roster players changed teams annually through trade, though this figure concentrates heavily among specific contract types and performance tiers. Comparable players with similar salary structures and age profiles provide the baseline for assessing whether current odds reflect realistic probabilities. Teams facing salary-cap constraints or injury crises often accelerate trades earlier than anticipated, whilst contenders may delay moves until closer to the deadline.

Recent reporting from NFL insiders indicates that front offices are already evaluating 2026 roster flexibility during the 2025 season. Contract restructures, injury updates, and draft capital availability will shape trade likelihood significantly. The market should track any announcement regarding the player's injury status, contract renegotiation, or explicit trade interest from other franchises. Off-season coaching changes and new general managers often trigger unexpected trades as incoming staff reshape inherited rosters.

Methodology

This page reviews Which NFL players will be traded? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.