Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Maxx Crosby, the Las Vegas Raiders' pass-rush edge defender, remains under contract through the 2025 NFL season. The market resolves to his destination by 31 August 2026, with a default resolution to the Raiders if he has not joined another team by that date. At 0% implied probability across prediction markets, traders are pricing in either his continued tenure in Las Vegas or an expectation that free agency and trades will not materialise within the settlement window.

Comparable edge-rusher movements offer limited precedent for players of Crosby's calibre and contract status. Chandler Jones, Danielle Hunter and Khalil Mack all changed teams during their prime years, typically via trade or free agency within 12–18 months of becoming available. However, the Raiders' recent pattern of retaining defensive investments—and Crosby's 2024 extension through 2025—suggests organisational commitment. The 0% market probability reflects confidence in either retention or the technical difficulty of a move materialising before the August 2026 deadline rather than fundamental uncertainty about his future.

Traders should monitor the Raiders' 2025 season performance and any public statements regarding roster direction in late 2025. NFL trade deadlines occur in late October; free agency begins in March. Crosby's contract status, injury record and the Raiders' salary-cap position heading into 2026 will determine whether other franchises pursue him. Recent reporting from ESPN and NFL Network has not flagged imminent trade interest, though that can shift rapidly following draft cycles and coaching changes.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.