Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
MrBeast’s latest upload is being measured by its first 144 hours of views, and the market is now pricing the result at 0% for the contract’s YES outcome. That is a striking divergence from the underlying channel scale: MrBeast still sits among YouTube’s largest creators, with recent uploads routinely reaching tens of millions of views within days. Comparable markets on the same channel have also shown very tight clustering around the top brackets rather than a wide spread, with Lines currently indicating a 30–35M day-one bracket at flat hourly movement and a modest 24-hour decline, while Polymarket’s own day-six market had been pointing to the 50.5–51.0M range before settling into a fully one-sided book. In practice, that means traders are treating the outcome as closer to a bracketed count than a binary hit-or-miss event.
For catalysts, the main drivers are the upload’s release timing, its early recommendation performance, and whether MrBeast or collaborators promote it across YouTube, X, or other platforms during the 144-hour window. Title, thumbnail, and any rapid edits to the video page can matter as much as external publicity, because the resolution source is the public YouTube view counter on the channel itself. Recent commentary on YouTube’s distribution mechanics also matters: a 2026 interview and related analysis highlighted how views can be spread more thinly across creators as the platform matures, but MrBeast’s scale still makes him an outlier. For this market, the key question is not whether the video performs well, but whether it lands inside the bracket implied by the contract once the full six-day window closes.
Methodology
This page reviews # of views of MrBeast video day 6? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade # of views of MrBeast video day 6? on PolyGram
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