Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Austria and Jordan will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 17 June. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 6% implied probability, reflecting the specificity required—any deviation from the listed scorelines triggers resolution to "Any Other Score." This represents a substantial discount to the likelihood of Austria winning outright, which major sportsbooks currently price between 65–75% depending on venue and team news. The granularity of exact-score markets typically compresses individual result probabilities; even heavily favoured outcomes rarely exceed 8–10% when broken into discrete final tallies.

Historical precedent suggests caution around low-probability exact scores in World Cup group matches. In qualifying and tournament play, Austria has shown defensive solidity (averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match in recent campaigns) but inconsistent finishing, whilst Jordan—making their World Cup debut—will likely adopt a compact defensive shape. Group-stage matches between sides of markedly different quality often produce 2–0 or 2–1 results rather than high-scoring draws. Sportsbooks currently offer Austria–Jordan at roughly –250 moneyline odds, implying a 71% win probability for Austria, yet no single scoreline commands more than 7–8% of that probability mass.

Traders should monitor team-sheet announcements and injury updates in the fortnight preceding the match. Austria's availability of key midfielders and Jordan's goalkeeper fitness will influence expected goal distribution. The settlement window closes at 04:00 GMT on 18 June, allowing only the standard 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time; any postponement extends the window but does not alter scoring rules.

Methodology

This page reviews Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.