Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 98% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 72% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 56% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 45% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 27% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5) | 10% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: fut esports vs eternal fire (bo3) - vct emea play-ins. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between FUT Esports and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 15 at 11:00AM ET. …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
Trade Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EM… on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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