Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 98% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5) | 90% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 64% |
| Map 2 Winner | 63% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) | 56% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 49% |
| Match Winner | 46% |
| Map Handicap: W7M (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) | 37% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 98% chance of valorant: cloud9 vs fluxo w7m (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Cloud9 and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 8:00PM ET. Th…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
- For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
Trade Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas S… on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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