Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 90% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 25% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 1% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs ZennIT (+1.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
Market context
ZennIT and Senshi Esports Club face off in a crucial Road Of Legends Regular Season League of Legends match, originally set for 16 July at 2:00PM ET. The prediction market currently implies a 0% chance for ZennIT to win, a stark divergence from Strafe’s community, which casts 100% of its votes on ZennIT securing victory [1]. This contradiction mirrors historical cases where crowd sentiment on niche prediction platforms lags behind broader esports community consensus, particularly in lower-tier regional leagues where data scarcity skews initial pricing.
Traders should monitor the official Road Of Legends schedule for any postponement notices, as delays beyond seven days without a winner trigger a 50-50 settlement rather than a decisive outcome. Senshi Esports Club’s recent 8-8 record and 50% win rate across competitive matches suggest volatility, yet the market’s zero-probability pricing for ZennIT appears inconsistent with Strafe’s overwhelming support [1][4]. No recent news updates from EGamersWorld or BO3.gg indicate roster changes or cancellations, but the absence of analyst commentary on this specific fixture leaves the 0% line unanchored from traditional odds sources.
The settlement window closes on 15 July 2026, meaning any delay past the seven-day threshold post-scheduled date will reset the contract to an even split. Given the match’s BO3 format and Senshi’s mixed recent form, the current pricing lacks the nuance seen in comparable cross-platform odds comparisons, where sportsbooks typically assign non-zero probabilities even to underdogs in regional LoL contests.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: ZennIT vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of L… on Best Prediction Markets UK
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