LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Vivo Keyd Stars face LOS in the Lower Bracket Final of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three League of Legends match scheduled for 13 June at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances to the regional finals with a shot at the international tournament; the loser's campaign ends. The 100% implied probability across prediction markets reflects either exceptional certainty about Keyd's superiority or sparse liquidity in this particular contract, a pattern common in regional esports qualifiers where information asymmetry favours those tracking team rosters and scrim results closely.

Keyd Stars have historically dominated South American League of Legends, winning multiple regional championships and consistently fielding mechanically sound lineups. LOS, by contrast, operates in a lower tier of regional visibility. However, single-elimination matches—particularly best-of-threes—introduce volatility that flat probabilities often understate. Recent roster changes, player form fluctuations, and meta shifts in the weeks preceding playoffs can shift outcomes substantially. No major sportsbooks offer conventional odds on this fixture, leaving prediction-market pricing as the primary reference point.

Traders should monitor team announcements regarding roster confirmations or substitutions through early June, and track whether either side participates in visible scrimmages or content that signals preparation level. Fixture delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution, a meaningful tail risk given occasional scheduling disruptions in regional qualifiers. The settlement window closes 13 June at 22:00 UTC, allowing roughly ten hours post-match for result confirmation.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.