Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
70% | 30% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
70% | 30% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 70% |
| Match Winner | 69% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 69% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 59% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 59% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 58% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 49% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 49% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 39% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 39% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 38% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 38% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 38% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 38% |
| Game 1 Winner | 31% |
| Game Handicap: MYTH (-1.5) vs Dynasty (+1.5) | 30% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
Market context
Myth Esports face Dynasty in a Road Of Legends regular-season best-of-three, with the current crowd price at **38% YES** for Myth. That is notably below the broader market on Polymarket’s team page, where the same match is shown at **69% for Myth** versus **31% for Dynasty**, suggesting either a stale snapshot, different contract timing, or a genuine split between venues rather than a clean consensus.[4]
The historical record does not support a one-sided read: the teams have met **six times** and are listed at **3-3** head-to-head, which fits a close matchup more than a clear favourite.[2] Strafe’s user vote is far more extreme, showing **100%** of votes for Myth, but that is a sentiment read rather than a price and can overstate confidence when sample size is thin.[1] BO3.gg’s match page also presents scoreline possibilities rather than a strong upset case, which is consistent with a market still balancing team familiarity against current form.[3]
For traders, the main catalysts are confirmation that the match starts on schedule, final line-ups, and any last-minute schedule changes, because this contract settles to **50-50** if the game is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner.[2] The scheduled start is 23 July at 1:00pm ET, so any organiser update near that window matters more than historical head-to-head noise.[2] No recent mainstream report was surfaced in the available sources, so the practical edge here is monitoring official match listings and live status rather than relying on sentiment alone.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends… on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →