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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 60% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 51% Volume: $471K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between Fluxo W7M and LOS in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M …

Methodology

We track LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
and

Trade LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season on Best Prediction Markets UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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