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LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Live odds for "LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 82% Game 2 Winner 70% Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) 70% Game 1 Winner 69% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $406K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner82%
Game 2 Winner70%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)70%
Game 1 Winner69%
Game 3 Winner69%
Game 4 Winner62%
O/U 3.5 Games61%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?54%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?49%
First Blood in Game 3?47%
Odd/Even Total Kills46%
Odd/Even Total Kills46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?44%
Odd/Even Total Kills43%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?39%
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs RED Canids (+2.5)37%
First Blood in Game 1?36%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
O/U 4.5 Games25%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: furia esports vs red canids (bo5) - cblol playoffs stands at 82% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FURIA Esports and RED Canids in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
Emma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial JournalistandSarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writer

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