LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

The Bandits’ meeting with ZennIT in the Road Of Legends regular season has been priced as a near-certain Bandits win, but the live contract at **100% YES** is still materially tighter than the sort of match moneyline the esports market has recently shown for either side in comparable fixtures. In a recent Road of Legends Spring match, The Bandits were listed at **1.15** against Myth Esports, while ZennIT were **3.375** underdogs against Senshi eSports in a July Road of Legends Summer game, suggesting bookmakers and match-level models have tended to separate these teams from the rest of the field by a wide margin[1][2]. That makes the prediction market’s full-certainty pricing notable: it implies either the market has incorporated a decisive edge not obvious in prior lines, or it is leaning heavily on the absence of credible counter-signals rather than on a published sportsbook benchmark.

For traders, the key catalysts are operational rather than tactical: official confirmation that the BO3 has been played, any late schedule changes, and whether the match proceeds without a forfeit or abandonment. The settlement rules matter because if the game is cancelled, never starts, ends level, or drifts beyond the seven-day delay limit without a winner, the contract resolves 50-50 rather than to either team, which is a different outcome from a simple win/loss market. With the scheduled window already passed, the main question is not competitive strength but whether the series was completed and reported cleanly by the organiser, since that determines whether the current 100% YES price is justified or vulnerable to a procedural fallback.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

We track LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.