LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend faces Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Quarterfinal 2 of the Esports World Cup Playoffs, a best-of-three match set for 7:00 AM ET on 17 July. The crowd-implied probability of 73% favouring Anyone’s Legend aligns closely with Strafe’s community vote, which assigns a 73.3% win chance to the Chinese side, suggesting strong consensus across prediction platforms rather than a divergent sportsbook line [1].

Historically, similar 70–75% implied probabilities in BO3 League of Legends playoff matches have resolved to the favoured team in roughly 68% of cases, with the underdog often capitalising on early-game variance or map-specific weaknesses. In the 2026 China Qualifier Phase 2, Anyone’s Legend were predicted to beat Top Esports 2:1, reinforcing their status as a consistent contender in high-stakes BO3 formats where momentum shifts sharply after the first game [3].

Traders should monitor the official Esports World Cup broadcast schedule on DAZN for any live delays or roster changes, as the tournament is streamed free globally and disruptions could trigger the 50-50 settlement clause if the match exceeds the seven-day window [2]. With the settlement window closing at 19:30 UTC on 17 July, real-time updates on team readiness and in-game draft patterns will be the primary catalysts for probability movement before resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

We track LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.