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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Any Player Penta Kill 57% Game 2 Winner 56% Match Winner 56% Game 1 Winner 55% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $213K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Penta Kill57%
Game 2 Winner56%
Match Winner56%
Game 1 Winner55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?54%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?37%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)31%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Market consensus: 57% chance of lol: anyone's legend vs jd gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Any…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
What are the best prediction markets for UK traders in 2026?
For UKGC-regulated markets: Betfair Exchange (sports, politics) and Smarkets (sports, politics, lower commission than Betfair). For broader global event prediction: Polymarket (deepest liquidity, 0% fee, USDC settlement). For US-regulated option: Kalshi (USD, limited UK payment options). Most serious UK traders use a combination of Betfair for regulated sports and Polymarket for broader markets.
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Trade LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group … on Best Prediction Markets UK

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