Dota 2: THE VISION vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

THE VISION defeated 4ikibamboni 2–0 in their Upper Bracket round 1 Dota 2 match at The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, played on 22 June 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, confirming the market’s 100% YES settlement for THE VISION. This outcome aligns with Strafe Esports’ user prediction of a 62.4% win probability for THE VISION and Kalshi’s 91% implied probability for the same side, showing strong cross-platform consensus despite minor divergence in crowd sentiment[1][2].

Historically, European Closed Qualifier BO3 matches in Dota 2 Upper Bracket rounds have resolved decisively when one side holds a clear roster or tactical advantage, with 85% of such contests ending without a tie or cancellation since 2024. The VISION’s prior regional qualifier performance, including a clean sweep in TI15 Regional Qualifiers, supports the pattern of dominant early-round exits for established teams[1][7].

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for schedule shifts or roster changes, as well as post-match patch notes that may affect future qualifier dynamics. Dotabuff’s latest qualifier list confirms four teams will advance to The International 2026, reinforcing the competitive stakes of this match[6]. No further catalysts are expected given the match’s completed status and confirmed winner.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.