Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Ursa (-6.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+6.5) | 0% Ursa | 100% HEROIC Academy |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Ursa (-6.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+6.5) | 0% Ursa | 100% HEROIC Academy |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Ursa | 100% HEROIC Academy |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Ursa | 0% HEROIC Academy |
Market context
Ursa face HEROIC Academy in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage, scheduled for 10 June 2026 at 07:00 ET. The 1% implied probability on Ursa victory suggests near-prohibitive underdog status, positioning this as a heavily favoured matchup for HEROIC Academy. Settlement occurs at 17:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with provisions for 50-50 resolution if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days, or ends in a tie.
HEROIC Academy operates within the established HEROIC organisation's academy structure, typically fielding developing talent with competitive experience in regional circuits. Ursa's recent performance trajectory and roster stability relative to academy-level competition provides the baseline for assessing the 1% probability. Historical CCT Europe group-stage matchups involving academy teams against independent rosters have occasionally produced upsets, though the implied odds here reflect confidence in HEROIC's structural advantages and player development infrastructure. Cross-platform comparison would reveal whether traditional sportsbooks diverge meaningfully from this prediction-market assessment.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes, particularly given the early morning ET start time which may affect participation logistics. CCT Europe's official schedule and team announcements typically confirm final rosters 24–48 hours before matches. Injury reports or visa complications affecting either squad could shift the probability materially. The settlement window's strict seven-day delay clause means fixture postponements beyond that threshold would trigger automatic 50-50 resolution, creating a secondary risk factor independent of match outcome.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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