Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike 2 lower bracket final between Sashi Esport and Inner Circle Esports in Super DraculaN Group A, originally set for 25 June at 2:00 PM ET. This match has already concluded, with Inner Circle Esports winning 2–1 after a tightly contested Best of 3, as confirmed by tournament records and live score aggregators[1][2]. The prediction market currently shows a 0% implied probability for Sashi Esport winning, which aligns precisely with the final result: Sashi lost the match, making a "YES" outcome impossible.

Historically, prediction markets that remain open after a match concludes but show 0% probability for a losing side reflect either delayed settlement or misaligned market expectations. In comparable CS2 events, such as Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7, markets resolved within hours once the final score was verified, with no divergence between sportsbook lines and prediction-market outcomes[6]. The current 0% probability here is not a divergence but a factual reflection of the settled result, indicating the market has correctly priced in the loss.

Traders should monitor official settlement notices from the exchange and any updates from tournament organisers regarding delayed resolution windows. While no new announcements are pending, the settlement window ends 26 June at 02:00 UTC, and any delay beyond seven days would trigger a 50–50 resolution per the contract terms[1]. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms the match outcome and team rankings, reinforcing that no further catalysts are expected[2]. With the result final and verified, the market’s 0% probability is accurate and not subject to revision.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.