Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Atrix Esports | 100% shimmer |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: SHIM (-1.5) vs Atrix Esports (+1.5) | 0% shimmer | 100% Atrix Esports |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Atrix Esports and shimmer at the Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffs, an offline Brazilian B-Tier tournament scheduled for 23 June 2026 at 22:30 UTC[4][5]. This contract resolves to "Atrix Esports" if they win the BO3, with a 0% current crowd-implied probability suggesting the market views them as virtually certain to lose, a stark divergence from typical sportsbook lines where underdogs rarely carry zero odds unless a match is abandoned[1].
Historically, zero-implied-probability contracts in esports prediction markets usually precede confirmed cancellations or team disqualifications rather than genuine competitive mismatches, as even heavy favourites retain a non-zero chance of a tie or delay beyond the seven-day settlement window[1]. Comparable cases from the 2025 FERJEE Finals show that when odds collapse to near-zero, the resolution often defaults to the 50-50 clause due to administrative delays rather than a decisive loss, framing this 0% line as a potential signal of match integrity issues rather than pure skill disparity[2].
Traders must monitor official tournament announcements from FERJEE regarding team participation status and stream availability, as the match was initially set for 6:30 PM ET but faces potential timezone or scheduling conflicts given the current date is already 24 June[4][6]. A recent update on rdy.gg confirms the tournament includes only four teams, meaning any withdrawal by Atrix Esports would immediately trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, making roster confirmation the primary catalyst for price movement[7].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?
- Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rai… on Best Prediction Markets UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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