Bitcoin price on June 24?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the final one-minute closing price of BTC/USDT on Binance at noon Eastern Time on 24 June 2026. Current crowd-implied probability for a specific price range is 0%, suggesting traders expect the market to resolve to “No” for the queried bracket, likely because the price sits near $62,652, just below the $62,700 threshold implied by some platforms.

Historical patterns show Bitcoin has oscillated between $60,000 and $73,000 in early 2026, with an all-time high of $126,198 reached in October 2025 before a sharp correction [1][7]. Recent data indicates a $2,784 drop from the previous day and a $43,130 loss compared to one year ago, reinforcing downward momentum [1]. Changelly forecasts a June minimum of $62,598.11, aligning closely with current levels and suggesting limited upside before the settlement window [4].

Traders should monitor US macroeconomic announcements, particularly Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and inflation data, which often drive crypto volatility. Binance’s own prediction model projects a modest 5% increase to $62,513.50 by the end of the week, but technical indicators suggest a potential peak of $91,126 over the next five years, implying long-term recovery despite short-term weakness [6]. Any sudden regulatory news or exchange-specific liquidity shifts could alter the final close significantly.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.