Bitcoin price on June 13?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's noon ET price on 13 June 2026 will be determined by the closing price of the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle on Binance at that precise moment. The market currently shows zero probability assigned to a "Yes" resolution, suggesting traders expect the price to fall outside whatever bracket defines affirmative settlement. Resolution hinges entirely on Binance's recorded close price, with ties resolved upward to the higher bracket.

Historical volatility in Bitcoin's intraday pricing offers context for assessing this zero probability. Single-minute candle closes routinely fluctuate by hundreds of dollars during active trading hours, and noon ET typically coincides with moderate volume periods rather than peak liquidity events. Markets pricing specific price points at exact timestamps have historically reflected genuine uncertainty; a 0% crowd probability suggests either an extremely narrow or implausibly high target range, or that the market definition itself has created settlement conditions traders view as unlikely to occur.

Traders monitoring this contract should track macroeconomic calendar events in early June 2026—particularly US inflation data and Federal Reserve communications—as these drive directional Bitcoin moves. Regulatory announcements from the SEC or international bodies could introduce volatility spikes around the settlement window. Binance platform stability and any scheduled maintenance should be verified beforehand, as technical issues could affect candle data availability. The specificity of a single-minute close at noon ET creates dependency on real-time market conditions rather than broader price trends, making intraday volatility and order-book depth at that exact moment the primary drivers of settlement outcome.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets UK?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.